By: James Onen a.k.a Fatboy
As a political Independent, I have a question for supporters of the M7 regime.
As most people suspect, M7 is more than likely to remain in office till he departs from this world, probably through natural causes or old age, unfortunately while having left behind no credible independent institutions - or even a credible hand picked successor - that will be able to maintain order in his absence.
Following his inevitable and unavoidable departure from this world, a vicious power struggle is likely to ensue among the remaining military top brass and adjacent political actors, with each faction fighting for control over Kampala and other strategic areas of the country. In particular the Albertine region is f**ked coz that's where alot of the attention will be. You know why... 🛢💵 😅
Our neighbours (and the West of course) will obviously each back their preferred warlords/candidates, funding them and arming them, and we'll have strife in this country for years as Sudan, undoing whatever gains we may have accrued over the last almost 40 years.
It's gonna be really messy.
That's my unfortunate prediction. But I guess many of you might also hold this view as well. I mean, it's the story of Africa. Nothing new here.
If I was a praying man, I'd pray to be wrong on this.
You might be wondering why I haven't mentioned where Kyagulanyi factors in this predicted saga thus far.
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Putting aside for a moment that I don't believe in democracy, perhaps if Kyagulanyi were allowed to be elected president while M7 is still around that might be good because, assuming he accepts a peaceful transition should Kyagulanyi win, he may be helpful in keeping the military at bay so that no over ambitious officers get any funny ideas and decide to start some shit.
With the army acclimatised to a new president, perhaps the new president may have a chance to govern until he also hands over to the next president, and that one to the next, and so forth.
This move could help foster a mindset change in the minds of those who would otherwise consider violent means of seizing power.
This is not an endorsement of Kyagulanyi per see but just looking at what would make most sense currently if we are to look at a best case scenario for the future. Because I see no one from the ruling side that currently has the kind of national recognition you would need to unite the country post-M7.
And please don't tell me about the current VP who no one knows or cares about 😆. And none of the party higher ups inspires much confidence either. Perhaps this is by design? I really dunno. 🤷🏿♂️
To an unbiased observer it is clear that thus far M7 has failed to groom a worthy successor and it now seems too late begin grooming one. Or maybe it's not. If so this should be his IMMEDIATE and TOP priority. Is the MK thing for real or not? If it is, let him get behind it now and push it, for better or worse.
Either way, the future of country rests on what moves M7 makes in the next 10 or so years. Or less. I hope he's aware he's running out of time. He won't live forever.
To me it's not looking good. Frankly, I'm expecting more of the same, until the day he drops, and we will all be caught by surprise when that day finally comes and the whole country implodes from the ensuing chaos 🤷🏿♂️
Everyone, and I mean everyone, supporters, opposers and independents alike, expects that the country will implode if M7 is suddenly gone.
Maybe regime supporters can explain to us in the replies what they think M7s game plan for the future is, in his absence. Surely you will agree there is too much uncertainty for the future.
We are just genuinely curious about the future. Should we sit tight and hope for the best, or should we brace ourselves for the worst? Or for those who can, maybe they should get passports and prepare to flee the country as we await the inevitable?
Tell us.
I am only asking what many people are secretly wondering 💁🏿♂️
